Will
the Covid-19 vaccines prevent the infection to others?
And how long immunity will last?
The vaccine experts do not know the answers
Disclaimer
Originally published on
December 14th, 2020
A
guest document by Ricardo de Valencia
INTRODUCTION
As the campaign for universal vaccination continues to develop - which
we know has a final purpose different than saving us from the epidemic (1)
- we believe it is important to be informed about certain technical
issues regarding the vaccines. Well-informed and documented responses
(2) to such
questions can serve to "vaccinate" us against the epidemic of
confusion that is continually being cast by the mainstream media.
Also, exposing the contradictions behind the vaccination campaign
should serve as a reminder that, since the official logic does not fit,
it is being confirmed that the purpose of vaccination has to be other
than simply to end the epidemic.
DETAILS
Following, we answer some questions that we think may be of interest to
our readers. In the footnotes you will find the corresponding
references that support the answers provided.
Will the Covid-19 vaccines prevent
transmission to others?
Amazingly, they do not know. Vaccine
studies on Covid-19 have not been designed to assess whether or not a
vaccinated person can transmit the disease to others. They are designed
to determine whether it leads to the absence of disease in a vaccinated
subject for a few months after vaccination. It is not clear whether vaccines
can suppress viruses at low enough levels to prevent transmission to
others. This is not a conclusion from anti-vaxxers, it is what
vaccine experts and manufacturers say. (3)
This is totally the opposite
of what we have always been taught about vaccines. From the school, we
are told that "unlike most
medicines, vaccines don't treat disease, but they can prevent it from
spreading and making people sick" (4). But now, for the
Covid-19 emergency vaccines, this is just an unknown. These "vaccines" are not tested to
do what people expect that
a vaccine should do, that is, to prevent the infection to others.
Are health authorities informing properly on this to each one of the
citizens that they are going to vaccinate?
How long immunity will last?
In short, they do not know how long
immunity acquired from vaccine
will last (5).
It is important to distinguish between
personal guesses from experts, on the one hand, and facts confirmed by
studies, on the other hand. Because the disease has been known for less
than one year, with studies lacking the necessary duration, there is
still some uncertainty about the duration of immunity acquired by
someone who has had the disease naturally and a very large uncertainty for
those who have been vaccinated. So far, the assertion from some
that
immunity from the vaccine lasts longer than natural immunity is a
matter of personal opinion rather than a fact certified by clinical
trials.
However, according to a new scientific study, natural
immunity to the
coronavirus may last at least eight months in most cases (6). Said study has been
"approved" by The New York Times, a standard-bearer of the pro-vaccine
platform, so nobody can't disqualify it as an "anti-vaxxer" study. The
point here is: If natural
immunity is so long lasting, what is the purpose of the vaccines?
The
vaccine experts do not know if vaccines will give protection even for a
year!
Is the mass vaccination an experiment?
Are they experimenting with the population?
The answer is clearly yes, at least to
the extent that:
(a)
Side effects have not been proven
in the long term. (7)
(b) The duration of vaccine
protection (immunity) is uncertain. (5)
(c) They do not know if the
vaccines prevent transmission to others. (4)
(d) The universal marking of
people through a personal identifier has
not yet been tested on a global scale. (8)
Presumably, the mass
vaccination would serve to determine those extremes. In these terms, it
can be described as an experiment.
If I have had the disease, I should
have natural immunity. Will I thus be able to avoid being vaccinated?
If you have had the disease, the logical path for health authorities
would be to declare you exempt from vaccination and to recommend
you not to vaccinate (9).
But they are
not doing that way.
They lack enough statistical data to compare natural immunity with
immunity from vaccine. Therefore, if some speakers like Fauci recommend
the vaccination to those who had had the disease,
they should inform to those affected that, since the recommendation is
based on a guess, they are experimenting with the vaccinated.
Now, at the plane of vaccinations mandated by law or imposed under
social coercion: Based on what we are seeing unfolding, it seems that
having had the disease will not be
an option to be exempt from the vaccination. What we are seeing is:
(a) In the national
vaccinations plans in different countries, a very consistent and
suspicious absence of provisions on what to do with those who have
already had the disease.
(b) In the mouth of public
speakers like Fauci, recommendations that "it is better to be
vaccinated even if
you have had the disease", with the striking circumstance that such
recommendations are based on personal guesses and not on statistical
data from clinical trials. (10)
This means that they are moving in the direction of imposing vaccines
for all even if you can
officially prove
that you have had the disease.
CONCLUSION
The apparent purpose of the vaccines - to end the epidemic - is not
guaranteed by the vaccine experts and manufacturers. The duration of
protection from the vaccines is still unknown (5). Also, the ability of
the
vaccines to prevent transmission of the disease from a vaccinated
person to others is still unknown (4). In this sense, it is a
big
experiment.
On the other hand, natural immunity could be, after all, better than
immunity from the vaccine (6).
They have not enough data to discount it, so
it is still a real possibility.
Some experts can speculate about this and say that this is not so but,
at the moment of truth, they are offering just guesses and bets, not
numbers. If they don't know the numbers for vaccine immunity (how long
it lasts and to which degree it prevents transmission), they can't
compare them to the numbers for natural immunity.
As we said in the introduction, the aberrant logic in the vaccination
campaign should serve, for those which do not
want to live in denial, to keep confirming that the purpose of
vaccination has to be other than simply to end the epidemic. (8)
NOTES
(1) Index of Documents Regarding Covid-19 /
Coronavirus
(2) Like this, for
example: Open
letter from
Belgian medical doctors
denouncing the contradictions of Covid-19
(3) Vaccine experts do
not know whether the Covid-19 vaccines will
prevent transmission to others:
(a)
The
New York Times, 13 Oct 2020: "Vaccine trials are
designed to look for an absence of disease, rather
than of infection, and it’s unclear whether
vaccines can suppress virus
levels enough to prevent transmission to others."
(b) Pfizer
CEO "Not Certain" vaccine will stop people from spreading COVID-19 (4
Dec 2020): “Even though I’ve had the protection, am I
still able to transmit it to other people?” NBC’s Lester Holt
asked, to which Bourla [Pfizer CEO]
responded: “I think this is something that needs to be examined. We are not certain
about that right now.”
(c) "Two vaccines, from Pfizer and from
Moderna, were highly effective at protecting people in late-stage
studies from getting sick with COVID-19, the companies announced in
November. But the trials don't tell
us whether the vaccines help block the virus from infecting people or
stop it from jumping from person to person." (businessinsider.fr
27 Nov 2020)
(d) "The studies designed
to test the candidate vaccines only examined symptomatic infections,
not whether vaccinated people could still be contagious." (eu.dispatch.com
8 Dec 2020)
(4) People are expecting
that
a vaccine should prevent the infection to others, as we always have
been
taught:
(a) "What
is a vaccine and how does it work? A vaccine is a substance that
stimulates a person's immune system to develop antibodies that produce
complete or partial immunity to a specific disease. Vaccines prevent
2-3 million deaths per year. Unlike
most medicines, vaccines don’t treat disease, but they can prevent it
from spreading and making people sick." (Information
to the public from a certified lab focused on COVID-19 testing, 25
Sep 2020)
(b) "Vaccines
don’t just protect yourself.
Most vaccine-preventable diseases are spread from person to person. If
one person in a community gets an infectious disease, he can spread it
to others who are not immune. But a
person who is immune to a disease because she has been vaccinated can’t
get that disease and can’t spread it
to others. The more people who are vaccinated, the fewer
opportunities a disease has to spread." (Information
to the public from CDC [USA Centers for Disease Control and
Prevention],
29 Jun 2018)
(5) They do not know how
long the vaccine protection will last, and
this unknown is a provision officially approved by authorities.
(a) It is
not clear whether the
COVID-19 vaccines will last that long. “I don’t think we have
overwhelming confidence,” Fauci
said. “We’re less than a year into the
disease, so you can’t say it lasts more than a year — I mean,
that would be impossible. That doesn’t make any sense because no one
that we know of that we’re following has been infected more than a
year.” ... “So the bottom
line is we don’t know right now how long it lasts”, Fauci said,
speaking of the length of immunity a vaccine will provide. “But it likely would last for a
full year’s cycle.” (bangordailynews.com
27 Nov 2020)
(b) “How
long will the vaccine last? FDA
will consider "authorizing" this vaccine, but will not issue a full
approval because there is no data on
how long the vaccine will be protective.
Officials decided that in the
midst of a pandemic, it was good enough
to ensure that the vaccine was safe and at least transiently effective,
rather than withholding it for two
years to await the typical long-term
results required for a full approval.” (eu.dispatch.com
8 Dec 2020) [Note that the
avoiding of the official label "full approval" does
not prevent that the vaccines are de facto being fully approved to be
delivered to
the population.]
(c) "Because these vaccines are brand new, we don’t know how long the immunity they
provide will last either. John Zurlo, an infectious diseases
doctor at Jefferson Health, said it’s not a huge problem if COVID-19
vaccines last only, say, a year." (inquirer.com
11 Dec 2020)
(6) Natural immunity to
the coronavirus may long at least eight months:
(a) "Eight
months after infection,
most people who have recovered still have enough immune cells to fend
off the virus and prevent illness, the new data show. A slow rate of decline in the
short term suggests, happily, that
these cells may persist in
the body for a very, very long time to come." (nytimes.com
17 Nov 2020)
(b) The referred study: "We
analyzed multiple compartments of circulating immune memory to
SARS-CoV-2 in 185 COVID-19 cases, including 41 cases at at least 6
months post-infection. Subjects represented a range of asymptomatic,
mild, moderate, and severe COVID-19 cases, and were recruited from
multiple sites throughout the United States." (Source
16 Nov 2020; PDF)
(7) Side effects have
not been proven
in the long term... since the disease has been known for less than one
year, with studies lacking the necessary duration.
(8) The imposition, on
a global scale, of an immunity test or a vaccine as a requirement for
release from permanent quarantine status.
(9) Statistically, the
possibility of reinfection is
very little and, when it happens, it should be with mild symptoms. That
is
how natural immunity works. If it were confirmed statistical data
supporting
that it is
different for the Covid-19 coronavirus, people like Fauci would have
trumpeted thus to the
public.
(a) "Reinfection
seems to be vanishingly rare." ... "In most people, the immune
system works as expected." ... "More than 38 million people worldwide
have been infected with the coronavirus, and as of Monday, fewer than five of those cases have been
confirmed by scientists to be reinfections." ... "In most
cases, a second bout with the virus produced milder symptoms or none at
all."
(nytimes.com
13 Oct 2020)
(b) "A resurgence of
symptoms doesn’t prove reinfection." (nytimes.com
13 Oct 2020) || "The number of
genetically proven reinfections is orders of magnitude lower than that
of suspected reinfections. The Netherlands alone has 50 such cases,
Brazil 95, Sweden 150, Mexico 285, and Qatar at least 243." (sciencemag.org
18 Nov 2020) [According to
this source the numbers are different, but
still very small against the alleged millions of Covid-19 cases
worldwide.]
(c)
"Natural
immunity from the coronavirus is
fortunately quite strong. A vast majority of people infected
produce at
least some antibodies and immune cells that can fight off the
infection. And the evidence so far
suggests that this protection
will persist for years, preventing serious illness, if not
reinfection." (nytimes.com
5 Dec 2020)
(10) "Take the vaccine even if you’ve already
had coronavirus, Fauci says" ... "“I believe they should” take the vaccine, Fauci
said, addressing concerns among individuals who have already recovered
from infection." (bangordailynews.com
27 Nov 2020) -- Which translated means: "So far, we have no data to
support my recommendation, but let's do an experiment with you."
Published on December 14th, 2020
In Spanish: Los
expertos en vacunas no saben si las vacunas impedirán los
contagios
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